A good defense can still get us to the playoffs, but I think we're going to see the trend of running into buzzsaws as soon as we play elite offenses in big games continue. Now the question is, is Steelers football dead? Are the days of a hard nose defense leading a team to glory lost to history? I wouldn't go that far, but what's obvious is that we have to adapt to an offense that can produce or we have no chance. Defensive rankings in first 3 super bowls: 9-2-8 Defensive rankings in last 3 super bowls: 12-9-22. Post shift we've also had 8 top 10 defenses, which have produced 4 playoff appearances and 5 playoff wins.įor comparison some patriots stats over the same period, 2001(Tom Brady's first year)-present. They produced 6 playoff apparences, 10 playoff wins, and 2 Super Bowl wins. Prior to the shift ( 2001-2008) we had 8 top 10 defenses. If we remove the broncos as an outlier and make the rule top 10, then that number falls to 5/14 and 1/8 without the Ben/Brown/Bell trio and 0 times since that trio broke up. If we use it as a hard rule that a team below 20 on the ranking will not win a Super Bowl, then Steelers have only truly "had a shot" at winning it all 7/14 times since the shift in '09. 9/ 1( Enter Mike Tomlin) ? (Enter Bruce Arians)ġ9. 8/6 (Last year of Killer b era) (Enter Fichtner)ġ3. 25/24 (Last year of Ben Roethlisberger) ?(enter Matt Canada)ģ. First number is points per play ranking, second number is defensive yards per play allowed ranking.Ģ. Next is a list of every Steelers season 2001-2022. But, if you have to have one or the other, there seems to have been a shift in strategy, prior to 2008 you had a better chance of an elite defense carrying a mediocre offense, today an elite defense seems to offer little help without an elite offense and an elite offense is more than capable of dragging an okay defense across the finish line. Of course you want to have both, and nearly half of Super Bowl winning teams still do. What I take from this is that you have to have a top 20 points per play offense to have a real chance at winning the Super Bowl and it's increasingly more necessary for it to be top 10/top 5. On the defensive side, from 2000-2008 8/9 Super Bowl teams had a defense inside the top 10 in yards allowed per play, 2009 and on: 6/14 After 2008? Just 1/14 (The outlier is Peyton Manning and the 2015 Broncos, absolutely dominant defense) In fact, after 2008, 10/14 Super Bowl winning teams have been in the top 5 of this stat.
Between 2000-2008 5/9 Super Bowl champions were outide the top ten of offensive production. Whether it was one team sparking it or a slow league wide movement that led us here the numbers are clear. I think it began with the 2009 Drew Brees led Saints. But while they may have sent it into overdrive, I believe it was already well on its way. Popular narrative is that the Chiefs are to blame for the offensive boom that has erupted in the nfl. 4 / 28 (Peyton Manning didn't give a shit about his defense) Below is a list of every Super Bowl champion's "offensive points per play" season ranking from 2000-2022/ that teams defensive yards per play allowed ranking. Just how true is this? I compiled a list using the most relevant available stats I could find. The big narrative in recent years has been that high powered offense/passing/ big plays have become the key to success and defense no longer wins championships.
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